AL-69 · Education Path & ROI

Deferred Enrollment MBA
Decision Engine

Deferred-admission programs (HBS 2+2, Stanford Deferred, Wharton Moelis, Yale Silver Scholars, and the T15 equivalents) offer a guaranteed seat 2–5 years out. The dilemma: accept a guaranteed seat at the school that admitted you, or decline and apply later to a better school when your profile is stronger? This engine prices the guaranteed seat as an option against the uncertain upgrade.

📊 2024–25 deferred program structures (HBS 2+2, Stanford, Wharton, Columbia, Yale, Darden, Kellogg) · tier salary premiums from 2024 employment reports. All embedded.
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Your Decision Option Value Model
Must be above the seat tier for "decline and retry" to make sense
M7 admit rates ≈ 10–20% overall; strong WE trajectory can double your baseline
No guarantee second time. You may also be seen as a decliner
Deferred programs typically allow 2–4 years of work first
Applies a certainty premium/discount to the guaranteed seat
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Two Paths
Key Metrics
Decline-Path Outcome Tree
Analysis & Caveats